Monday, March 7, 2016

Bleak outlook for film industry?

Hit-Driven Film Business Getting "Very Ugly," Wall Street Analyst Says

by Paul Bond
Warner Bros.' 'Batman v Superman'Jimmy Kimmel Live/YouTube
"The dynamics of the film business now look very ugly," an influential Wall Street analyst said in his fifth annual "memo to Hollywood," which he distributed on Friday.
In his research note, Doug Creutz of Cowen & Co. says the market "appears to be condensing into fewer, but bigger, hits."
This phenomenon, he says, is leading to an expanding supply of expensive films — he predicts 30 films will carry production budgets north of $100 million this year, compared to 22 last year — and he warns that a similar situation in the video game industry ended with many players going out of business (Midway, Acclaim, Atari, LucasArts and THQ).
Consolidation is one "obvious" solution to the problem, he writes, though he adds that "a real move towards consolidation is not likely to happed until well past any normal economic pain."
Of course, Lionsgate is already talking about merging with Starz, while Viacom is seeking to sell an equity stake in Paramount.
About the latter, Creutz writes: "We think Viacom would be best served by simply selling Paramount to anyone willing to take it off their hands."
Here's what Creutz has to say about each of the primary studios specifically:
•  Disney "remains the lead dog" and will make nine movies this year with budgets of at least $100 million, up from six last year. While Captain America: Civil War, Finding Dory and Rogue One: A Star Wars Story are likely to be "outsized hits," he's skeptical of The Jungle Book, Dr. Strange, the animated Moanaand Steven Spielberg's The BFG.
•  Warner Bros. will be the only studio to make fewer movies for more than $100 million this year than last (four, down from six). Nevertheless, the studio "runs one of the broadest slates in the industry, with 18 wide-release films coming to market in 2016," says Creutz. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Batman Vs. Superman and Suicide Squad could be dragged down by Tarzan, Nice Guys, Central Intelligence, Sully, Storks, The Accountant and Collateral Beauty, according to the analyst.
•  Fox will release four $100 million-plus movies, up from two. "Deadpool was more luck than skill," says the analyst, but he still says it "could be quite a good year" for the studio with X-Men Apocalypse, Independence Day: Resurgence and Ice Age: Collision Course. He hedges his bet, though, by writing that the Ice Age franchise is looking "fairly long in the (saber)tooth" and wondering if the new Independence Day might be more Terminator: Genisys than Jurassic World. 
•  Paramount will have two films costing $100 million or more in 2016, same as last year. While Mission Impossible, Star Trek and Transformers are strong franchises, "We expect more Zoolander 2s in the company's future." That film made just $49 million worldwide in its first three weeks. Suffice it to say, Creutz is bearish on Paramount. "We think any prospective investment partner would be well-advised to stand aside for the time being," he writes.
•  Lionsgate will have three movies costing $100 million-plus this year, up from two last year, and "faces an uphill climb to get to more profitable levels," says Creutz. Gods of Egypt is a flop, and Divergent: Allegiant and Now You See Me Two "could struggle against increased high-end competition."
•  DreamWorks Animation will have two $100 million films up from one, and Creutz is more bearish on this stock than any of the others he lists in his "studio-by-studio" view (which excludes Sony and Comcast's Universal). While listing competitors Disney Feature Animation, Pixar, Illumination, Blue Sky and Warner Bros., he writes: "Being the fourth or fifth or sixth best animated studio is not a good place to be." Neither DWA's upcoming Trolls or Boss Baby impresses Creutz.
Email: Paul.Bond@THR.com

Reaction #4 Prompt (due by Midnight Sunday, March 20, PDT)

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“The methodology and the measurement and the data itself don’t reflect any sense of reality of anything that we keep track of,” said Ted Sarandos, chief content officer at Netflix. CreditSteve Marcus/Reuters
PASADENA, Calif. — Tensions between Netflix and traditional television networks escalated this weekend after industry executives expressed mounting frustration over Netflix’s refusal to disclose ratings.
At a Television Critics Association event, NBC Universal introduced viewership figures last Wednesday provided by an outside firm that suggested several of Netflix’s shows fall in line with broadcast and cable shows, implying that traditional television remains vibrant. On Saturday, John Landgraf, the chief executive of the cable network FX, picked up the theme, saying it was “ridiculous” that Netflix did not release viewership numbers.
Netflix’s chief content officer, Ted Sarandos, shot back on Sunday, saying the numbers provided by NBC were “remarkably inaccurate” and asking why NBC would spend time and energy to “talk about our ratings.”
“Maybe because it’s more fun than talking about NBC ratings,” he said.
The pitched back-and-forth occurred as ratings are falling for broadcast and cable networks while Netflix’s offerings of original programs are growing. Mr. Sarandos said that the streaming service would spend $6 billion on content this year, and original scripted programming would be part of that budget.
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“If Ted doesn’t give ratings, he shouldn’t then be saying, ‘This is the biggest hit in the history of blah blah blah,’ ” said John Landgraf, chief executive at FX.CreditFrederick M. Brown/Getty Images
Television executives have been frustrated because Mr. Sarandos has at times suggested Netflix shows would fare better than what is on cable and broadcast television. Last month, for instance, he said the Netflix show “Narcos” would be the most-viewed show on cable, not HBO’s “Game of Thrones.”
“Netflix brought it on themselves when they make assertions like their show would be the highest-rated cable show,” Gary Newman, co-chief executive of the Fox Television Group, said in an interview.
Likewise, Mr. Landgraf said in an interview, “If Ted doesn’t give ratings, he shouldn’t then be saying, ‘This is the biggest hit in the history of blah blah blah.’ He shouldn’t say something is successful in quantitative terms unless you’re willing to provide data and a methodology behind those statements. You can’t have it both ways.”
The battle over ratings began when Alan Wurtzel, NBC Universal’s head of research, said on Wednesday that he was confronting the “800-pound gorilla” and gave the news media what he described as a “Netflix reality check.”
Ratings, particularly among 18- to 49-year-olds, dictate how much money cable and broadcast networks make from advertisers.
Mr. Wurtzel provided data from a firm named Symphony Advanced Media, which uses audio content recognition installed on phones to recognize what is being watched and when. According to Symphony’s data, the Netflix show “Jessica Jones” was viewed by 4.8 million people within the first 35 days of its premiere in the 18- to 49-year-old bracket important to advertisers. In that demographic, Mr. Wurtzel said that, according to Symphony’s data, “Master of None” had 3.9 million viewers, “Narcos” had 3.2 million and Amazon’s “The Man in the High Castle” had 2.1 million viewers.
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A scene from HBO’s “Game of Thrones.” CreditHelen Sloane/HBO
Mr. Wurtzel said the data showed that when streaming-service shows debut, viewership is strong and then peters out after a few weeks before viewers return to watching cable or network television. “My only point is I don’t believe there’s enough stuff on Netflix that is broad enough and is consistent enough to affect us in a meaningful way on a regular basis,” Mr. Wurtzel said.
Mr. Newman, of Fox, was particularly interested in this.
“If you look at the data, it’s very compressed and it falls off,” he said. “Our shows tend to be in the cultural conversation for three to four months at a time. And I think that’s powerful to our advertising partners.”
He also said that the numbers were “within the mid- to upper level of cable dramas and within the ballpark of what I’d expect.” Mr. Landgraf said that the data did not “feel rigorous enough.”
And Mr. Sarandos pushed back hard on Symphony’s data, particularly its focus on 18- to 49-year-olds since Netflix sells subscriptions, not advertising based on a specific demographic.
“The methodology and the measurement and the data itself don’t reflect any sense of reality of anything that we keep track of,” Mr. Sarandos said. “That could be because 18- to 49-year-old viewing is so insignificant to us I can’t even tell how many 18- to 49-year-old members we have. We don’t track it.”
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Wagner Moura as Pablo Escobar in the Netflix series “Narcos.”CreditDaniel Daza/Netflix, via Associated Press
Mr. Sarandos, instead, pointed to the number of Netflix subscribers, which he said is about 70 million worldwide, and 43 million in the United States. In keeping with his public stance that Netflix would never release ratings, he said he did not want to engage in a “weekly arms race.”
“Once we give a number for a show, then every show will be benchmarked off of that show even though they were built sometimes for very specific audiences,” he said.
He added: “There is a very natural inclination to say, ‘Relative to this show, this show is a failure.’ That puts a lot of creative pressure on the talent.”
Meanwhile, Mr. Landgraf said on Saturday that FX pursued “Master of None” and Netflix’s coming show, “The Crown,” but the free-spending streaming service “overwhelmed us with sort of shock–and-awe levels of money and commitment.”
FX, he said, has to be profitable whereas Netflix does not have to worry about that now.
“I mean, basically, we are competing against payrolls à la the Oakland A’s and the New York Yankees that are three, four times ours,” he said.
He called it a “little frustrating” because “FX’s earnings alone are many, many times higher than Netflix’s globally, many times higher.”
As for NBC’s ratings numbers, Mr. Landgraf said that at some point Netflix’s viewership levels would be reliably revealed.
“I think the national security apparatus of the United States has the right to secrecy,” he said. “There’s a strategic need to that and what’s at stake is the security of America. I don’t think Netflix has that high a call on secrecy. If they’re willing to be judged on merit and truth, they should put the information out there.”

Sunday, March 6, 2016

Score Code



The code for scoring should be placed inside the AfterPicking event handler.

It requires a score label in the Designer screen.

Countdown Timer Code














To add a countdown timer, you'll need to add a Clock, a sound, and a label in the Designer.

Make sure you keep the timing interval at 1000, change the text of the label to 20, and upload a sound and connect it to a source in the sound component.

This timer will work for any app made with App Inventor.

Jack


Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Multiple choice app tutorial

Here is a link to how to create a multiple choice trivia app:

http://www.appinventor.org/content/ai2apps/intermediateApps/presidentsQuiz

It's in 7 brief videos.

Since we're making it multiple choice, please skip Step 5 (the video), as that step helps you add a text box if you want to make it fill-in-the-blank.

We've already done most of this in class, so you may only need to watch the videos where you're having difficulty.

(Or you may just want to go over it completely just to make sure everything is right).

The goal is to spend an hour or two working on it so that when you come to Lab on Monday, you have a multiple-choice app that is functioning.

If you spend 2 good hours working on it and it doesn't work, don't stress. You're not getting graded on this and we'll figure out the problem in class.

Jack